Saturday 21 April 2012

An Empirical Assessment of Realism in United Nations Peacekeeping

Imane Drissi El-Bouzaidi
November 17, 2011
             United Nations Peacekeeping has been involved in Lebanon since 1978 when the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) was established to respond to the Israel-Lebanon war. There have been many different attempts to understand UN peacekeeping; in whether or not its importance lies in the way it promotes democracy; in the way it establishes set norms or practices; or in the way it masks state interests. Each of these views are represented by a theory; namely, Democratic Peace theory, Constructivism, and Realism. This paper will utilize empirical evidence to depict how Realism performs best in explaining United Nations peacekeeping in Lebanon. Democratic Peace theory will first be disproved with the example of the 2006 Israel-Lebanon war, which implies that although the UN works to promote democracy, this does not always lead to peace. Constructivism will then be disproved in the way that UN peacekeeping was ineffective in establishing set norms/identities, (resulting in divisions among contingents), and altering state behaviour, (resulting in continued violations). Realism is evident in UN peacekeeping because decision-making is dominated by major powers, while states focus on national interests. To commence, evidence against democratic peace will first be presented.
Democratic Peace Theory
            Democratic Peace theory argues that the role of international organizations is to promote democracy because “established democratic states have fought no international wars with one another,” and are less likely to because of international economic interdependence, as well as the fact that “no democracy would pursue a minority interest and tolerate the high costs of imperialism.”[i] Therefore, to assess whether democratic peace is statistically significant, one would have to prove that the UN is effective in maintaining peace through its promotion of democracy. The UN has had a history of successfully assisting states’ transitions to democracy, even recognizing it as a human right, in that “the will of the people as expressed through periodic and genuine elections, shall be the basis of government authority.”[ii] The UN has acted to monitor elections and provide technical and logistical assistance in numerous states, such as Timor-Leste, South Africa, Mozambique, and Afghanistan, etc.[iii]  However, there is no strong relationship between democracy and peace, and evidence of this is depicted in the 2006 Israel-Lebanon war.
            Both Israel (since 1949) and Lebanon (since 2005) are democracies, therefore, the fact that war broke out between them in 2006 is evidence that Democratic Peace theory is not empirically correct.[iv] To prove this, it must be determined that the conflict was a war and that the conflict was between Israel and the democratic Lebanese government. Although officially Israel never declared war against Lebanon, “war in the material sense unfolds regardless of any formal steps,” and “its occurrence is contingent only on the eruption of hostilities between the parties.[v] War is defined in many ways but conventionally it is recognized as “a conflict between two sovereign members of the international system that results in at least one thousand battle deaths.”[vi] Thus, the fact that there were approximately a total of 1,904 casualties in the conflict complies with this definition of war.[vii] The Israeli Prime Minister at the time, Ehud Olmert, called Hizbullah’s kidnapping of Israeli soldiers an “act of war;” and during the conflict Lebanon’s Ambassador to the United States said that war “was declared on us when our country was occupied by the Israelis.”[viii] Thus, the fact that it was a war was generally acknowledged; however, to prove that the theory is incorrect, it now must be proven that the war was against the democratic Lebanese government rather than the undemocratic military group, Hizbullah.
            Hizbullah initiated the war by conducting a cross-border attack killing three and kidnapping two Israeli soldiers, so Israel responded with major attacks on Lebanon. The direct fighting was mainly between Israel and Hizbullah forces, and the Lebanese government claimed that it “had no prior knowledge of the attack” and it “disavow(s) everything that had taken place at the Lebanese-Israeli border.” [ix] This gives the impression that the war was not with the Lebanese government; however, this is not the case. The Israeli cabinet issued a statement saying that it “views the sovereign Lebanese Government as responsible for the action that originated on its soil.”[x] The Lebanese government was largely connected to Hizbullah since it had two ministers in the cabinet and a total of 14 seats from the Hizbullah party.[xi] Holding states accountable for the actions of its citizens is a view that the Bush Doctrine, namely that there is “no distinction between terrorists and the nations that harbour them,” made conventional. Lebanese soldiers fired anti-aircraft weapons against Israel, and approximately 43 Lebanese soldiers were killed, thus the government played an integral role in the war.[xii] Thus, it can finally be argued that a war was fought between two democratic states, which proves that democratic peace is fundamentally flawed. Even if UN peacekeeping promotes democracy, this does not guarantee that peace will be ensured. Analyzing this theory highlights the importance of defining terms such as war and democracy, which leads to the next theory, Constructivism. 
Constructivism
            This is a second possible theory to explain UN peacekeeping. Constructivism argues that interests, identities, and discourse are all socially constructed, “intersubjective,” and “institutionalized.”[xiii] The way that objects or practices are perceived can be altered; thus it is the role of Intergovernmental Organizations (IGO) to try to establish a single meaning or norm that can be adopted by other states. The IGO’s perception of a practice or object is important because “states are concerned simultaneously with shifting their behaviour to match the rules and reconstructing the rules to condone their behaviour.”[xiv]  In order to determine whether constructivism explains UN peacekeeping, it must be assessed whether the UN has been successful in altering behaviour and establishing shared norms and principles.
            UNIFIL has long been using tactics of persuasion and condemnation as a tool to coerce states into compliance. There have been numerous resolutions passed by the UN Security Council calling for cease-fires, condemning incursions, and urging the cessation of hostilities.[xv] Sometimes international pressure that arises from a UN resolution is enough to cause a state to alter its behaviour because the passing of the resolution means that the five major powers in the Security Council support the declaration or at least not oppose it enough to veto it. However, it is not always clear whether these UN actions are effective because “moral suasion is scarcely appropriate in a community that has violated its own sense of morality.[xvi] An example of UNIFIL’s ineffectiveness in gaining compliance is with the issue of Hizbollah’s militarization and Israel’s frequent overflights over Lebanon. Since 2006, Hizbullah has violated Security Council Resolution 1701, which calls for the “disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon” and Israel “for a full cessation of hostilities...by Israel of all offensive military operations.”[xvii] The failure to gain compliance is due to the ineffectiveness of moral suasion and lack of coercive measures. The fact that there has been a shift in peacekeeping from traditional, observer mission models to more robust, heavily armed forces, shows that the ‘naming and shaming’ technique is being replaced by more realist tactics of force.
            In theory, UNIFIL can serve as a forum where meanings and rules can be negotiated and altered; yet the organization has often been ineffective in trying to create a shared perspective among states. One piece of evidence is that states were divided on how to perceive Hizbullah as a terrorist organization or a legitimate force in the region. This was problematic for UNIFIL because troop contingents began to implement different policies based on their beliefs about the actor. When UNIFIL expanded in 2006, it “came with a pronounced reluctance to even talk to Hizbullah because key UN member states such as the US and (to a lesser degree) the Europeans look upon Hizbullah as a terrorist organization.”[xviii] This was an attempt by some of the states in UNIFIL to re-alter the shared perception of Hizbullah from a legitimate to an illegitimate actor. However, UNIFIL was ineffective in doing this because division arose among the different contingents when some chose to by-pass the UNIFIL headquarters, and secretly maintain communication with Hizbullah.[xix] This was an issue because UNIFIL headquarters were no longer informed about all communication, and “without supervision from the command level, the forces on the ground may be tempted into local ‘deals’ with groups operating in their area,” which would ultimately undermine the mission.[xx] Trying to change the way of thinking about Hizbullah was ineffective because it did not change the reality of the situation, which was that it was a dominant force in Lebanon due to its involvement in the government and support among the population. Although constructivism is important in explaining aspects of international relations, the importance of power over perceptions implies that realism plays a prominent role.  
Realism
            The realist argument is that international relations is made up of a system of states competing and driven by a need for power and survival. The role of international organizations is minimal on influencing state behaviour (as was explained with the difficulty in getting states to comply by moral suasion) because ultimately states are influenced by their self-interests.[xxi] This theory is reflected in UN peacekeeping because rather than trying to establish international peace, states primarily use peacekeeping to promote national self-interests.
            Evidence of realism is apparent because peacekeeping is often used to mask different political intentions.[xxii] One reason for peacekeeping (mainly among developing countries) is the economic motive. The UN pays each Troop Contributing Country(TCC) an amount of $1,028 US dollars for each soldier per month.[xxiii] Peacekeeping is also used by states to resolve conflicts that threaten to disrupt international trade or personal economic interests. This is why TCCs are more willing to deploy in the Middle East, because the region has major oil resources so conflicts may disrupt trade, causing an increase in the international price of oil. In addition, Laura Neack shows evidence that from 1982 to 1986 “many of the most frequent peace-keepers [were] also ranked among the largest arms exporters” in the Middle East.[xxiv] This proves the realist vision because although it may seem contradictory to conduct both arms sales and peacekeeping, both of these actions ultimately have the same pursuit of national interests.[xxv]           
            As realism argues, IGOs play a subordinate role to states, which is evident in UN peacekeeping because IGOs play only so much a role as states allow. The contribution of funds, troops, and equipment are all conducted on a voluntary basis; thus the decision of states to contribute as well as their conduct within a mission are all influenced by state interests. States can limit what the function of their troops will be (e.g. solely an observation role), and they can withdraw their contributions whenever they decide to. Another example of TCCs promoting their own interests within a peacekeeping mission is in the different ways they try to establish the security of their contingents on the ground. One example concerns European powers in UNIFIL because “concerned about the high risks that their troops would face in Lebanon, these countries –notably France- demanded more freedom of action for their soldiers and decided to deploy heavy tanks to the area.” [xxvi] Another example is with Italy in Somalia, where “eyewitnesses said the Italians stood by and refused to come to the assistance of the Nigerians during the attack” as a result of a deal that the Italian contingent made with Somalis.[xxvii] Realism is evident in these actions because states act in their own interests, which undermines the effectiveness of the IGO.
            Also, realism in UN peacekeeping is evident in how financial power within the UN (indicated by how much a state contributes to the peacekeeping budget) allows some states to have greater power in decision-making, dictating what a peacekeeping mission should look like and where it should be deployed. An example of this is the fact that the US is the top financial contributor to the 2011/2012 peacekeeping budget and although it does not provide many troops, it still dominates UN peacekeeping in many ways.[xxviii] Firstly, the major financial contributors could hinder a mission’s success by threatening to withdraw economic support for a mission. In addition, the Security Council, which is dominated by five permanent members (including the US), is important in providing the legal basis and mandate for UN missions.[xxix]Although peacekeeping is often described as a multinational, impartial force; the reality of the situation is that there are major powers, such as the US, who dominate decision-making.
            In conclusion, by analyzing the theories of Democratic Peace, Constructivism, and Realism, it is evident that realism is the most empirically convincing theory to explain United Nations peacekeeping in Lebanon. Democratic peace theory is empirically flawed and mainly focuses on manipulating the terms, “war” and “democracy” in order to serve its purpose. Constructivism is ineffective in explaining how the UN can establish set norms and identities or lead states to alter their behaviour. Ultimately realism is empirically sound in explaining how power politics and state interests are embedded in UN peacekeeping. Therefore, although UN peacekeeping can be a positive conflict-management tool, it is important to pose the question: which TCCs are involved? To do what? And to benefit whom?



[i]  John R. Oneal and Bruce Russett, “The Kantian Peace: The Pacific Benefits of Democracy, Interdependence,   and International Organizations, 1885-1992,” World Politics 52, no. 1 (Oct 1999): 1.     and Michael Doyle, “Liberalism and World Politics,” American Political Science Review 80:4           (1986); pp.1152
[ii] “Electoral Assistance,” United Nations: Department of Political Affairs,http://www.un.org/wcm/content/site/undpa/main/issues/elections/ (accessed November 18, 2011).
[iii] Ibid.
[iv]  “Lebanon Country Updates,” European Forum for Democracy and Solidarity,http://www.europeanforum.net/country/lebanon (accessed November 18, 2011).
[v]  Yoram Dinstein, War, Aggression and Self-Defence, Third Edition, 3d ed. (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001), page 9.
[vi]  Oneal and Russett, 2.
[vii]  “Report of the Commission of Inquiry On Lebanon Pursuant to Human Rights Council Resolution S-2/1,” United Nations General Assembly: Human Rights Council (23 Nov, 2006): 3.
[viii]  “Israeli Forces Cross Into Lebanon After Hezbollah Fight,” PBS NewsHour,http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/middle_east/july-dec06/israel_07-12.html (accessed November 18, 2011).
[ix] Ibid
[x] “Special Cabinet Communique - Hizbullah Attack,” Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs,http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2006/Special%20Cabinet%20Communique%20-%20Hizbullah%20attack%2012-Jul-2006 (accessed November 18, 2011).
[xi] “Lebanon Country Updates.”
[xii] Michael Glennon, “The Fog of Law: Self-Defense, Inherence, and Incoherence in Article 51 of the United Nations Charter,” Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy 25 (Spring 2002).
[xiii] Ian Hurd, International Organizations: Politics, Law, Practice (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010) 301.
[xiv] Ibid, 302
[xv] “United Nations Documents On Unifil: Resolutions of the Security Council,” United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon, http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/unifil/resolutions.shtml (accessed November 18, 2011).
[xvi] William J. Durch, The Evolution of UN peacekeeping: case studies and comparative analysis (New York: Henry L. Stimson Center, 1993), page 101.
[xvii] “United Nations Documents On Unifil: Resolutions of the Security Council.”
[xviii]  Timur Goksel, “Unifil: Peacekeepers in the Line of Fire,” Heinrich Boll Stiftung Middle East (August 07, 2007): 5.
[xix]  Ibid
[xx]  Ibid
[xxi] Ibid, 7
[xxii] Laura Neack, “Un Peace-Keeping: In the Interest of Community or Self?” Journal of Peace Research 32, no. 2 (May 1995): page 182.
[xxiii] “Financing Peacekeeping,” United Nations Peacekeeping,http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/operations/financing.shtml (accessed November 18, 2011).
[xxiv] Neack, 188.
[xxv] Ibid
[xxvi] Ronald Hatto, “Un Command and Control Capabilities: Lessons from Unifil’s Strategic Military Cell,” International Peacekeeping 16, no. 2 (04/2009): 186-98.
[xxvii] Neack, 192.                                          
[xxviii] Ibid
[xxix] Hisako Shimura, “The Role of the UN Secretariat in Organizing Peacekeeping,” in Ramesh Thakur and Albrecht Schnabel (eds.) United Nations Peacekeeping Operations: Ad Hoc Missions, Permanent Engagement (Tokyo: United Nations University Press. 2001); pp. 48.

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